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April 5, 2025
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Gold climbs to new highs as investors brace for Trump tariffs


The pound was little changed against the dollar in early European trading on Tuesday, changing hands at $1.2920, as investors braced for US president Donald Trump to unveil reciprocal tariffs on 2 April.

Trump is set to announce sweeping country-based duties on Wednesday, which he has dubbed “Liberation Day”.

Trump’s varying comments on the nature and extent of tariffs have fuelled volatility in markets this month, with fears that an escalating trade war will drive already stubborn inflation higher and weigh on economic growth.

When asked for details of the tariffs on Monday, Trump told reporters: “You’re going to see in two days, which is maybe tomorrow night or probably Wednesday.”

He added: “We’re going to be very nice, relatively speaking, we’re going to be very kind.”

Tariff fears prompted a sell-off across markets globally on Monday, with the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) losing 0.9%, though the UK’s blue-chip index rebounded on Tuesday morning to start April on the front foot.

Read more: FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks head higher despite tariff anxieties

Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said: “Ahead of the imminent ‘Liberation Day’ announcement, details remain patchy on the level of tariffs which have led to calls of potential stagflation or, at worst, recession.

“Indeed, Goldman Sachs has raised its estimate of the likelihood of recession to 35% from a previous 20%, while alongside the uncertainty the mega cap sector has also taken something of a beating.”

The pound edged slightly higher against the euro (GBPEUR=X) on Tuesday morning, trading at €1.1944.

Gold prices notched fresh highs at the start of a new quarter on Tuesday, with uncertainty over tariffs continuing to help fuel demand for the safe-haven asset.

Gold futures (GC=F) were up 0.1% at $3,153.80 per ounce at the time of writing, while the spot price advanced 0.1% to $3,127.49 an ounce.

According to a note from Deutsche Bank Research on Tuesday morning, gold prices were up 19% in the first quarter, marking their biggest quarterly gain since 1986.

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In a note on Monday, Hamad Hussain, climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics, said: “Central banks have been a key part of the rally in gold prices over the past 18 months. Indeed, the World Gold Council estimates that central banks now account for about 20% of total gold demand, almost double their average share between 2011 and 2021.”

“Overall, gold’s role as a portfolio diversifier means that central banks will probably remain a large and steady source of gold demand and continue to offset downward pressure on gold prices from a stronger dollar and higher Treasury yields,” he said.

“Given that gold supply is typically inelastic, we think that gold prices will rise to an above-consensus $3,300 per ounce by the end of this year.”

COMEX – Delayed Quote USD

As of 5:43:58 GMT-4. Market open.

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday morning, amid concerns about the impact of tariffs on the global economy and fuel demand.

Brent crude futures fell 0.4% to $74.47 a barrel at the time of writing, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dipped 0.4% to $71.18 a barrel.

However, prices remained near their highest point in a month, supported by concerns about disruptions to supply.

NBC News reported on Sunday that Trump said he was “very angry” with Russian president Vladimir Putin and said he may put secondary tariffs on Russian oil if he believed Moscow was at fault for a ceasefire deal not being reached with Ukraine.

Read more: What you need to know about investing in VCTs

In a separate phone interview with NBC News on Saturday, Trump reportedly threatened Iran with secondary tariffs and bombing if it did not make a deal with the US to make sure it did not develop a nuclear weapon.

ING commodities strategists said on Tuesday: “For now, it appears to be just a threat to Russia and Iran. However, if it becomes a reality, it creates plenty of upside risk to the market given the significant oil export volumes from both countries.”

In broader market movements, the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) rose 0.8% to 8,650 points on Tuesday morning. For more details, check our live coverage here.

NY Mercantile – Delayed Quote USD

As of 5:44:51 GMT-4. Market open.

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