The World Gold Council’s (WGC’s) Mid-Year Outlook Report for 2024 unveils a vibrant and resilient gold market, despite global economic uncertainties. The precious metal has seen impressive price hikes in the first half of the year, buoyed by high inflation and persistent geopolitical tensions. These factors, coupled with central bank policies, are projected to continue shaping gold’s trajectory into the year’s second half.
Central banks worldwide have remained steadfast in their gold acquisition, significantly bolstering their reserves. This steady demand has provided a solid backbone for the gold market, underscoring gold’s role as a stable asset amidst financial instability. The sustained purchasing trend highlights the strategic importance central banks place on gold as a cornerstone of financial security.
Juan Carlos Artigas, Global Head of Research, WGC, said, “As we approach the back half of 2024, with the global economy in a transitional state, investors want to know whether gold’s momentum can continue, or if it is running out of steam. The market used to focus solely on interest rates and the US dollar to inform their perception of gold. Through that lens, developments during the past six months should have significantly dented gold’s performance – and yet we’ve had record highs and strong performance throughout Q2.
“Like the global economy, gold appears to be waiting for a catalyst. This may come in the form of Western investment flows as interest rates fall or risk metrics increase. And while its outlook is not without challenges, there is growing appetite for gold in asset allocation strategies.”
Investment in gold, particularly through Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), has surged, reflecting a growing confidence among investors in gold as a safeguard against economic volatility. The rise in gold-backed ETFs underscores gold’s enduring appeal as a hedge. Conversely, the physical gold jewellery market has experienced some variability, influenced by regional economic conditions and fluctuating prices.
With Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors becoming increasingly pivotal in investment decisions, the gold industry is making notable strides. The World Gold Council highlights efforts to promote responsible mining practices and advance sustainable development goals, enhancing gold’s allure as a responsible investment choice.
As WGC looks ahead, gold’s outlook remains cautiously optimistic. The enduring economic uncertainties suggest that gold will continue to be a valuable asset in diversified portfolios. Investors are advised to consider gold’s historical performance and its strategic role in hedging against financial instability.