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December 27, 2024
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Precious Metals

Gold scales record peak as US election jitters drive safe-haven rush


  • Gold has risen over 33% this year
  • Gold prices shrug off firm US dollar, Treasury yields
  • Silver could exceed $35/oz before US election – analyst
  • Harris holds 46%-43% lead over Trump- Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
Oct 22 (Reuters) – Gold climbed 1% to hit an all-time peak on Tuesday as factors including safe-haven demand, spurred by U.S. election uncertainties and the Middle East war, combined with expectations of further monetary easing to amplify bullion’s surge.

Spot gold rose 0.9% to $2,746.69 per ounce by 1:40 p.m. ET (1740 GMT) after hitting a record $2,748.23 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures settled 0.8% higher at $2,759.8.

A line chart titled
A line chart titled “Spot gold price in USD per oz” that tracks the metric over time.
Bullion, considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties, has gained over 33% this year, reaching multiple records. Lower interest rates also increase the appeal of holding gold.

“Geopolitical tensions remain the primary driver… Two weeks out from the U.S. election, the race seems to still be a dead heat, and so a fair amount of political uncertainty is also driving safe haven interest in gold,” said Peter A. Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.

“Certainly if things heat up further in the Middle East, we could see $3,000 before the end of the year, but I’m sort of leaning more towards Q1,” Grant said, adding that the ongoing easing path of many of the major central banks was another factor driving the rally.

Democratic U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris held a marginal 46% to 43% lead over Republican former President Donald Trump, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.

“The narrowing of victory odds between the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates when Kamala Harris took over as the Democratic nominee, has created outcome uncertainty, which has been gold supportive,” analysts at BNP Paribas said in a note.

From the technical point of view, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for gold, currently at 74, suggests that gold prices moved into “overbought” territory. TECH/

Spot silver rose 3.2% to $34.84 per ounce after hitting its highest since late 2012 earlier in the session.

“We should see silver cross above $35 before the November 5 polling day, provided the tailwinds for precious metals remain intact,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity Group.

Platinum rose about 2.8% to $1,031.90 per ounce. Palladium added 2.9% to $1,081.06.

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Reporting by Anjana Anil, Sherin Varghese, and Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru, editing by Ed Osmond, Barbara Lewis and Shreya Biswas

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