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November 8, 2024
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Silver

Silver Drops Below $29 as Fed Rate Cut Speculation Grows; Bearish Trends


Silver (XAG/USD) has recently dropped below the $29 mark, primarily due to the weakening US dollar and rising speculation about a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut. As the dollar declines, silver’s appeal as a safe-haven investment strengthens, offering investors a hedge against economic uncertainty.

Moreover, technological advancements, particularly Samsung’s development of solid-state batteries for electric vehicles, are set to drive long-term demand for silver. 

Silver plays a crucial role in these batteries, and widespread adoption in the electric vehicle industry could significantly boost silver’s demand. Additionally, the increasing industrial use of silver, particularly in the solar energy sector, further underscores its growing importance.

China’s Strategic Silver Stockpiling and Its Global Impact

China’s strategic accumulation of silver is becoming a significant factor in global markets. The country has been systematically increasing its silver reserves, leading to a 10% price surge compared to Western markets. This aggressive stockpiling is part of a broader strategy to dominate key industries that rely heavily on silver, such as electronics and solar energy. 

China, which produces 80% of the world’s solar panels, has seen a surge in silver demand, with imports hitting a three-year high. In June and July 2024, China’s monthly silver imports exceeded 400 tons, more than double the amount from the previous year. 

This massive demand is raising concerns in Western markets, as higher silver prices could drive up production costs, leading to increased consumer prices and potentially slowing economic growth. China’s strategic hoarding underscores the growing importance of silver in the global economy and its potential as a tool for economic influence.

Economic Outlook

  • U.S. Initial Jobless Claims: Held steady at 232,000, slightly up from last week’s 228,000, reflecting a stable labor market. 
  • Flash Manufacturing PMI: Dropped to 48.0, missing both the 49.5 forecast and last month’s 49.6, signaling a manufacturing slowdown. 
  • Flash Services PMI: Rose to 55.2, surpassing expectations of 54.0, indicating strength in the services sector.

These mixed signals have increased market uncertainty, keeping gold prices volatile. Traders are now focused on Friday’s key events, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and New Home Sales data, which could further influence gold prices.


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  Silver (XAG/USD) Price Chart – Source: TradingView

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Chart – Source: TradingView

Silver Price Outlook: Bearish Trends and Key Support Levels

Silver (XAG/USD) is currently showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart, having broken below its upward channel and critical support at $29.43. This bearish breakout has led to a sharp decline, pushing the price toward the demand zone around $28.70.

If silver fails to hold this zone, further losses could be imminent, with the next key support levels at $28.35 and $28.00. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $28.83 may offer some support, but the overall outlook remains bearish as long as silver stays below the $29.42 pivot point.

Investors should closely monitor these levels, as continued downward momentum could bring these lower support areas into play.

This article is for informational purposes only. The opinions and analysis herein are those of the author and are not financial advice. The Jerusalem Post (JPost.com) does not endorse or recommend any investments based on this information. Investors should consider their financial situation, investment goals, and risk tolerance before making any decisions. Consulting a qualified financial advisor is recommended. JPost.com is not liable for any investment losses from using this information. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading or investment advice.





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