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London
February 22, 2025
PI Global Investments
Silver

Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Bullish Start, Price Hits $29.70


Silver Price Rises Amid Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Despite stronger-than-expected US PMIs and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, the US dollar turned bearish, likely due to bets on a Fed rate cut in September. Although the Fed forecasts only one rate cut in 2024, markets anticipate two cuts this year amid easing inflation.

The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates a 60% chance of a rate cut at the September meeting, weighing on US Treasury bond yields and boosting silver prices.

Traders remain cautious ahead of this week’s crucial US macroeconomic releases, including the final Q1 GDP print and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. Comments from FOMC members will be closely monitored for trading cues.

US composite PMI rose slightly from 54.5 in May to 54.6, its highest level since April 2022. Input prices declined to 56.6 from 57.2, while output prices slowed to 53.5, showing some of the smallest increases in four years.

In summary, silver prices have benefited from increased bets on Fed rate cuts, easing inflation concerns, and a weaker US dollar, supported by market uncertainty and upcoming key economic data releases.

Geopolitical Tensions and Political Uncertainty Boost Silver

A security agreement between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has heightened geopolitical tensions, raising concerns about escalating risks.



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