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June 22, 2024
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Are Gold Road Resources Limited’s (ASX:GOR) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock’s Recent Weakness?


It is hard to get excited after looking at Gold Road Resources’ (ASX:GOR) recent performance, when its stock has declined 8.8% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gold Road Resources’ ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Gold Road Resources

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gold Road Resources is:

8.8% = AU$79m ÷ AU$900m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The ‘return’ is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every A$1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated A$0.09 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Gold Road Resources’ Earnings Growth And 8.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Gold Road Resources’ ROE doesn’t look that attractive. However, given that the company’s ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 10%, we may spare it some thought. Looking at Gold Road Resources’ exceptional 48% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For example, it is possible that the company’s management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Gold Road Resources’ net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 23%.

ASX:GOR Past Earnings Growth January 11th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is GOR fairly valued? This infographic on the company’s intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Gold Road Resources Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Gold Road Resources has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 23%, meaning that it has the remaining 77% left over to reinvest into its business. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

Moreover, Gold Road Resources is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of three years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 30% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Gold Road Resources is speculated to rise to 13% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Gold Road Resources has some positive aspects to its business. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. Having said that, the company’s earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Gold Road Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



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