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April 20, 2024
PI Global Investments

China Silver Technology Holdings Limited’s (HKG:515) 94% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

The China Silver Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:515) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 94%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.9% isn’t as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn’t be many who think China Silver Technology Holdings’ price-to-sales (or “P/S”) ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong’s Electronic industry is similar at about 0.4x. Although, it’s not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for China Silver Technology Holdings

SEHK:515 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

How Has China Silver Technology Holdings Performed Recently?

For example, consider that China Silver Technology Holdings’ financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Silver Technology Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Silver Technology Holdings?

China Silver Technology Holdings’ P/S ratio would be typical for a company that’s only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company’s revenues fell to the tune of 44%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 26% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company’s downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that China Silver Technology Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren’t willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On China Silver Technology Holdings’ P/S

China Silver Technology Holdings’ stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we’d caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at China Silver Technology Holdings revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven’t impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we’re uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware China Silver Technology Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can’t be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Silver Technology Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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