Citi Research has turned bullish on China’s 30-year government bonds, projecting that yields will fall further even as US Treasury yields climb.
In a Monday research note, analysts at the Wall Street bank recommended that investors go long on China’s 30-year sovereign debt, saying they expected the yield to fall towards 1.8 per cent while the 10-year yield could edge towards 1.6 per cent.
The analysts attributed the outlook to easing supply pressures and improved market dynamics for China’s ultra-long government bonds heading into the fourth quarter.
“China’s recently announced 360-billion-yuan [US$53.7 billion] recapitalisation plan for some major financial institutions may boost duration demand, especially for the ultra-long end,” wrote Rohit Garg, Singapore-based head of EM Asia Rates and FX Strategy at Citi, in the report.