In November 2022, shares of Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) hit US$88.
The company formerly known as Facebook had lost three-quarters of its value.
Wall Street was in full panic mode.
The metaverse was a money pit.
TikTok was eating its lunch.
Apple’s privacy changes had kneecapped its advertising business.
Every headline screamed the same thing: Mark Zuckerberg has lost the plot.
At that point, it was tempting to agree.
But here’s what the market missed.
Underneath all the noise, Meta still had close to two billion daily users.
Its advertising platform remained dominant.
And the company was still generating enormous amounts of free cash flow.
In other words, the business wasn’t broken — the narrative was.
The Smart All Stars Portfolio bought shares of Meta for the first time in March 2022 at around US$202.
That was months BEFORE the bottom.
Shares would go on to fall another 56%, all the way down to US$88.
By any definition, our timing was terrible.
But we didn’t panic.
We looked at the business, not the stock price.
When shares recovered and the business proved it could adapt — pulling back on capital expenditure, refocusing on efficiency, and monetising its platforms better than ever — the portfolio bought more.
In December 2023, The Smart All Stars Portfolio added to its position at close to US$320.
And in May 2025, the portfolio bought again at US$452.
Three purchases.
Three different prices.
One similarity: none of them was at the bottom.
Meta’s share price today? Around US$688.
Every single purchase is in the green.
Here’s the part I want you to sit with: we did not need to time the market.
The Smart All Stars Portfolio did not catch the bottom.
The portfolio did not buy the “perfect” price.
What we did was invest in a business we believed in — and stayed the course.
And that’s not the end of the story.
On 22 July 2024, CNA aired a segment where I talked about Meta.
At that point, shares were at US$487.
I remember the reaction.
Among the comments online, one stuck out.
The gist?
If you’re hearing about a stock on mainstream media, you’re already too late.
Don’t listen to the man in the suit (that’s me!).
Educate yourself.
Fair enough — I agree that you should educate yourself.
That part, I have no quarrel with.
But here’s what happened after that comment was posted.
Meta’s share price went from US$487 to around US$688 today.
That’s a gain of over 40%.
So much for being “late to the party.”
This is the trap many investors fall into.
They assume that because a stock has already risen, the opportunity is over.
